Your EU result predictions

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Fnaar

Smutmaster General
Location
Thumberland
I predict:
53% in, 47% out
78% turnout.
 

swee'pea99

Legendary Member
I'm not predicting - I fear the hex...but FWIW, Michael Portillo, who whatever you think of him is a pretty sharp political brain, said a few weeks ago that the big nightmare scenario for innies was a low turnout - jaw-frothing outies straining to stick it to Johnnie Foreigner being less likely to simply let it slide than the rather more lukewarm innies. The tipping point, if I remember rightly, was 65% turnout. Lower, and the outties get it; higher, and remainers take the day. Sounded plausible to me. I suspect the predictions above of 80% turnout give or take will prove wide of the mark. I'd settle for 70...
 

numbnuts

Legendary Member
On a

knife edge.jpg
 

Smokin Joe

Legendary Member
Interestingly, bets at the bookies are running 2-1 in favour of leave. Remains odds are shorter because the big punters are going with that.

It mirrors the election betting, the money said a hung Parliament but the numbers correctly said a Conservative majority. Whatever the result it will be close.

My prediction? Four pages before the thread is locked.
 
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