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TDF punt

Discussion in 'Pro Cycling (Road and Track Racing)' started by CJ87, 22 Jun 2008.

  1. CJ87

    CJ87 New Member

    Just been offered 3-1 for Cadel Evans, what do you guys think, sound like a good bet?
     
  2. Dave5N

    Dave5N Über Member

    Get each way
     
  3. Keith Oates

    Keith Oates Janner

    Location:
    Penarth, Wales
    If you don't bet you can't lose!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
     
  4. rich p

    rich p ridiculous old lush

    Location:
    Brighton
    I like a bet on tournaments but I only usually punt about £10, so at 3-1 you only win £30 obviously. I prefer to have a bit on an outsider each way with a chance of winning a decent bit of money. However the chances are clearly pretty good for Evans to win the race so if you think it's a good bet, it is. I personally hope he doesn't win and think that 3-1 isn't great odds on what could be a pretty open event.
     
  5. Tetedelacourse

    Tetedelacourse New Member

    Location:
    Rosyth
    Go and buy yourself 2 fish suppers instead. Evans will never win the tdf. He's nothing more than an extremely good pace-setter.

    Valverde will be 1st.

    I've said that for the last 3 years mind you...
     
  6. CJ87

    CJ87 New Member

    Thanks for all your insight, I decided to go each way on Carlos Sastre in the end at 14-1!
     
  7. rich p

    rich p ridiculous old lush

    Location:
    Brighton
    Of the Schlecks, Andy is 11-1 and Frank is 40-1. Does that represent their respective chances, do you think?
     
  8. Skip Madness

    Skip Madness New Member

    It is probably about fair. I doubt Fränk really is capable of winning the Tour - he'd need people to let him get away in a break Pereiro-style. Andy definitely could win although he's a bit of a long shot at this early stage in his career, I think. A good outsider, though, particularly given the relative lack of time-trial kilometres and the absence of Contador.
     
  9. rich p

    rich p ridiculous old lush

    Location:
    Brighton
    I agree that Frank is unlikely but maybe better than a 40-1 shot but Andy at fourth favourite after Evans, Valverde and Menchov?
     
  10. Skip Madness

    Skip Madness New Member

    I didn't realise that 11-1 made Andy fourth favourite - that does seem a little crazy to me. Especially looking at some of the odds you can get on other riders - Mauricio Soler can be had at 40-1, Samuel Sánchez at 50-1, Ángel Gómez Marchante at 66-1 and Igor Anton at 80-1.

    Interestingly, Roman Kreuziger can still be found for 50-1 - I wonder how many bets he's had laid down over the past few days?
     
  11. rich p

    rich p ridiculous old lush

    Location:
    Brighton
    Ricco is 50-1 which seems like better value
     
  12. CJ87

    CJ87 New Member

    A night on the town is in order!!:sad:
     
  13. Well done that man - took no advice from this forum :biggrin: