US Presidential Campaign

Joey Shabadoo

My pronouns are "He", "Him" and "buggerlugs"
The campaigns for the 2020 US Presidential elections are under way. The main candidates seem to be Trump, Biden and Sanders. It's quite striking that these are all elderly white guys, the very epitome of "pale, stale and male" with ages of 73, 76 and 78 respectively.

Trump appears to be going with what worked last time - concentrating on non college educated white males, a demographic with one of the highest rates of turnout at elections - something like 45% of all voters.

Biden seems to be taking flak from the more "progressive" section of Democrat support by pitching for the middle ground but he is the early front runner for selection.

Sanders is running a similar campaign to before, offering transformational ideas for US society but maybe hindered by his advanced years.

How do CCers see this playing out? Will Sanders lose out to the establishment candidate again? Who offers the best chance of beating Trump? Is Trump doomed to lose or is the view of him from this side of the pond wrong?
 

Levo-Lon

Guru
No Film Stars, how sad.. Boris will have a mate in the US then
 
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marinyork

Resting in suspended Animation
Location
Logopolis
The campaigns for the 2020 US Presidential elections are under way. The main candidates seem to be Trump, Biden and Sanders. It's quite striking that these are all elderly white guys, the very epitome of "pale, stale and male" with ages of 73, 76 and 78 respectively.
It's just the continuation from the last election where the candidates were some of the eldest candidates ever to run (US term) for President. Elizabeth Warren were she the final candidate for the democrats would be 71 by the time of the election. Both the US and UK have switched around to finding candidates in their 60s and 70s fashionable for top jobs. There's still the bias to men.



Trump appears to be going with what worked last time - concentrating on non college educated white males, a demographic with one of the highest rates of turnout at elections - something like 45% of all voters.
It's a very good strategy. Contrary to myth, the republicans do very well with white university educated voters. Some people assume that it's sort of like modern UK where those with degrees are going to have a luv in with the democrats. Trump still won the white college educated, which shocked many. Although that was exit polls, a not very popular explanation is that the exit polls were wrong and the support trump has lost was never there in the first place.

Biden seems to be taking flak from the more "progressive" section of Democrat support by pitching for the middle ground but he is the early front runner for selection.
He's the party machine candidate. He's the frontrunner because people in the media say he is. He's not a particularly good campaigner at all.

How do CCers see this playing out? Will Sanders lose out to the establishment candidate again? Who offers the best chance of beating Trump? Is Trump doomed to lose or is the view of him from this side of the pond wrong?
There are a huge number of candidates for the democrats. In 2016 the republicans had 17 candidates and the pre-primary season went on forever. Very early stages.

If someone is expecting Biden to win they may be in for a surprise. He won't raise the funds Clinton or Obama did. He says a lot of gaffes, not really views in tune with some of the people who will be volunteering to campaign and tells daft stories about living in Scranton.
 

lane

Veteran
Something I learned from CNN is that Biden has the best sound track when he makes an appearance - Springsteen's "We take care of our own".

Does anyone know why he is called Sleepy Joe?

Other than that not too much info from CNN because they spend most of their time reporting on Trump's always imminent - but never quite actually happening - impeachment.

It was close last time so I don't think it's a slam dunk for Trump. I think he is more likely to lose support than gain it. There are things that could trip him up such as Iran. Or if he does end up getting impeached. You just never know.

Still he could outlast Boris.
 
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