Does the Met office know anything?

[Fab Foodie]

Funny - I was just looking at the routes I did last time I was down and I did both!

This was my Cadbury loop...

View attachment 666581

It's on my list! The Tivvy road makes the C1 puff!

 

[Fab Foodie]

One of our Saturday Social routes goes up to Bickleigh, a back way past Cadbury to Crediton, out to Tedburn and home. Finish on the quay at our favourite cafe. Then, if I'm feeling energetic, I might go a long way back to Honiton.

Let me know sometime and I'll try and join you...if you'll have me....

 

[Ming the Merciless]

I think this illustrates how variable our use of language can be around probabilities. You're saying "there's a 64% chance of X happening"; I would view that as "X will probably happen" [not certain though!].

YOU say it needs to be a higher probability before it becomes "probable" !!! :P

No, it needs less days for it to be become probable, just 14 days in this case.

 

[matticus]

No, it needs less days for it to be become probable, just 14 days in this case.

AHA - I think I understand now! (that less was quite critical) Apologies for skim-reading.

So anyway, I picked a bad example with your post. But I stick with my general point i.e.
I think this illustrates how variable our use of language can be around probabilities.

 

[newts]

It's raining outside, they've got it correct today.