Could be that a lot of drivers are trying to make quick trips into the city but faced with queues and not being able to predict how long a journey will take get stressed and take risks.
I find 845-9am much more dangerous than the times either side, because of the stressed late for work types.
The stats will be based on the number of miles travelled per vehicle for a give stretch of road. Therefore the denser the traffic the lower the incident per vehicle/mile over that piece of tarmac.
The thing is what you actually want to know is what the likely hood of actually being in an collision if I go for a ride down a road. This is a very hard statistic to generate in a meaningful manner. I come up with the time between collisions per length of road surface. But I'm still not convinced that that is any more meaningful a statistic than collisions per mile traveled.
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