Currently I run 32mm Schwalbe Duranos . . . Another rider suggested that I may make some marginal gains in the summer if I size down to a 23mm or 25mm Durano. Rolling resistance I am led to believe isn’t going to happen, but due to having less of a ‘bulge’ I may be more aero.
Your colocutor is talking BS.
You would make losses.
Rolling resistance of wider tyres is, ceteris paribus, lower, within reason (eg 28-).
And there's a plausible argument that the hysteric losses in the rider's body are less with wider tyres (wider ones, of course, come with a higher 'comfort quotient').
Read this comparison of 23, 25 and 28s of same make/model (which is by the way the acknowledged 'benchmark' clincher tyre for long riding):
https://www.bicyclerollingresistance.com/specials/conti-gp4000s-ii-23-25-28
Jan Heine's work referred to by
@12boy also comes to this conclusion and he has exploited that to produce and sell wide high quality construction road tyres (Compass) but at a price.
There may be marginal losses from aero drag on a wider front tyre but for the distances (and therefore speeds) that you are targeting, these are outweighed by the poorer rolling resistance. See this article for insight to yaw angles (which suggests a well (width) matched tyre to a rim width has merit - also talks about 'trip' benefits of non-smoothness on the shoulders of tyres):
https://road.cc/content/feature/213...heel-weight-doesnt-matter-and-how-wind-tunnel
Look at the Road Tyre reviews list in
https://www.bicyclerollingresistance.com/
I'd support
@fossyant 's advice. Balance the puncture protection you need against rolling resistance.
There are some 'fast rolling' tubeless tyres but I think the OP has considered and rejected the tubeless route.
Here's
the comparison for Continental GP 4-season, Schwalbe-Durano and Michelin Pro4 Endurance v2.
Currently (on 15mm internal rim width wheels at 75/90psi) I have a 4 Season (a 28 but comes up narrower) on the front (which has done 11,000+ km) and a Michelin on the rear (a 25 but comes up wide). A pair of 4000s are waiting to go on in the late spring for my Easter Arrow (400+), 400, 600 and PBP.
For 25s at 100psi the rolling resistance difference between Duranos and 4000s is 5.8w (each tyre) or a gain of 11.6w. Over a 200km audax in under 9 hours rolling time that'd offer a time saving of about 20 minutes.
I've used
http://bikecalculator.com/
Just be aware that Continental GP 4000SII come up wide, and on your rim width (H Plus Son Archetype rim 17.5mm internal width) I'd expect a 28-622 to measure 31+mm - best of both worlds: a fast tyre, wide for speed and comfort and pretty reasonable puncture protection.
I see one can get them for
under £30. Restraint! Restraint!
HTH