I use my indoor weather station (sad I know) tells me wind speed and direction, temp and air pressure from which I can tell you what the weather will be like for day with a reasonable degree of certainty
I still out of habit check the Met Office, but have long resigned myself to the fact that they are all a bunch of liars. I now resort to looking out of the window, or just listening to how bad the wind is hitting the side of the house to determine whether or not to stay in bed for longer.
Looking and analysing provides a forecast.
That's what the professionals do, but they have the advantages of instruments to "look" with and access to more observation points.
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