I replaced when worn. No way would I run a set of gears into the ground like that - I value my teeth.
It's the reason the teeth are longer on single speed bikes, to stop them ever coming off. Unshipping a chain on a fixed gear can be a disaster, especially if you are riding quickly and spinning quickly.
Each to our own, but I'd rather have guaranteed reliable equipment.
As described: the reliability of the cog is proven.
I decided to risk continuing its usage.
In case the transmission failed somehow (I expected skipping), I've spares with me.
But it didn't fail. Even not after 4 months with ALL teeth broke off in the middle.
That's how guarantee, reliability is proved, no?
A chain coming off, is usually due to not retensioned for too long.
With my avatar bike, 2017 acquired, I never had a chain jumping off.
Just because I bothered to retension.
With the all-teeth-broke cog I initially kept close eye on it, retensioned more.
But as proved later on, it wasn't needed.
Why I bother all this testing?
Because there are major benefits to keep using the cog in such a wear state.
- I don't have to replace it = no cost / work
- I don't have to flip it regularly (to maintain a minimal sharkfinning) = no work
- The rollers travel less distance on the teeth = less wear = longer lasting chain = less cost/work
Same for the 2019 chainring.
Instead of 6 times cost of chainring, and above described work.
No cost and no work.
Back in early 2019, I replaced the then new chainrings default mounting bolts (annoyant small bicycle chainring dedicated things with one side sleeve ends around big hole, other side an internal hex for allen key, easy to damage head, easy to lose, with M10 bolts with nuts. To allow to do the job with no risk of damage / loss, with a couple 17 keys. That made flipping also alot easier and faster.
Well, it became even more easier, because once worn to the degree an end of life chain inflicts, no work at all.
After that succesful chainring test, now also rear cog test succes.
The chainring is now 7 years and has had an equal number chains.
Not a single occurrence of chain jumping/dancing/whatever off.
Despite 12/47 chainring teeth and 16/16 cog teeth broke off
So that risk you say you see, if something didn't happen in 7 years, what's left of it?
Initially the chain was UK brand Gusset model "tank", basically a 1/8" internal width chain with 3/16" style link plates.
Later on I moved to a motorcycle type 420 chain brand Regina, full 1/4".
I bought 1 to test - clearance chain to rear wheels dropout might have been a problem - but it didn't void it, upon which I bought a lifetime stock of these chains.
I also had bought a stock Gusset Tank's but I decided to keep these for last.
It stayed that Regina 420 OROY since mid 2020.
I DID have a single occasion of losing the chain.
Not due to jumping from teeth, but due to the closing plate of the quicklink breaking in the middle, causing the chain to roll off to the street.
Something I never expected to happen. But I had spare chain and extra spare quicklink with me, I managed to get the bend-wide-open quicklink off, put the spare in it, and continued riding home.
But the bike felt so weird that something clearly was wrong.
Also, the days before and that day, I discovered like 4-5 teeth broke, in such a short time.
I decided to stop to take a good look.
It took me like 10 minutes to finally discover that the frames tube bottom bracket to rear wheel dropout / driveside was half cracked, on the verge of disaster.
Thus all aside the discussion topic here, since the cause was not sprocket wear.