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So called weather reports

Discussion in 'Commuting' started by Plax, 11 Dec 2007.

  1. Plax

    Plax Veteran

    Location:
    Wales
    Just looked at Met Office Weather for my area - Medium level cloud and some mist ("frosty start to the day and frost and patchy freezing fog that has forming in the valleys will lift in the early morning sunshine") no mention of rain.
    Then checked out the BBC weather and it says it's predominantly going to be heavy rain????
    What's that all about then - I'm beginning to think all weather forecasters are liars!
    Think I'll go with the met office report judging by the weather the last couple of days.
     
  2. Jacomus-rides-Gen

    Jacomus-rides-Gen New Member

    Location:
    Guildford / London
    Trust MetCheck - IME they are almost spot on, most of the time.
     
  3. Dayvo

    Dayvo Just passin' through

    Where have you been all your adult life?
    Have you ever known of, or heard about, accurate and reliable weather forecasts? ;)
    They've been pulling the wool over our eyes for decades, and just cos they've got all these flash maps and images, and hi-tech satellites and computer stuff etc., they think we believe them even more.
    Well, it's a load of tosh, I tell you, a load of tosh. :smile: (:tongue:)

    Best bet is to just look out the window, or phone a friend and ask them what the weather is like, just before it approaches your area. :smile:
     
  4. BentMikey

    BentMikey Rider of Seolferwulf

    Location:
    South London
    Metcheck is good, as is looking out the window and on the metoffice rain radar. It's also not worth relying on weather forecasts that are for more than perhaps 6 hours in advance. It always makes me laugh when someone talks about the forecast for the weekend, when it's 3 or 4 days to go.
     
  5. Twenty Inch

    Twenty Inch New Member

    Location:
    Behind a desk
    During WWII, one of the uses to which Bletchley Park was put was decyphering the German weather reports (actual reports of how the weather was there and then) on a daily basis. This info was then given to Bomber Command to enable them to plan sorties.

    Amazing that throughout the war, the German confidence in Enigma was so high, that they never once considered that it might have been broken. A lesson for those who believe that technology will cure all problems.

    As a side note, several field commanders believed that such use of enemy intelligence was unsporting, and wouldn't act on the information that the code-breakers sent them.
     
  6. Tynan

    Tynan Veteran

    Location:
    e4
    Enigma was cracked early on and the Germans suspected it had been, they then put in an improvement that they considered unbreakable, it was cracked again and read everything thereafter
     
  7. Maz

    Maz Guru

    I heard today was going to be summery.
    Bloke on the radio said 'Here's the weather summary'.
     
  8. Twenty Inch

    Twenty Inch New Member

    Location:
    Behind a desk
    ;) :tongue: :smile:
     
  9. mrben

    mrben New Member

    Location:
    Glasgow
    The BBC weather report online has always been a little bit dodgy - I tend to prefer http://uk.weather.com
     
  10. Good site that is.It was frigging cold this morning.I got 34 degrees when I left at 4am.
     
  11. Road Fiddler

    Road Fiddler New Member

    Netweather is beter than Metcheck but then i was a forecaster for them. The guys at met check are quite switched on and they use the same data as we do.

    On a forecasting note we look at data up to 380 hours and after that the data is known as fantasy island, but that is only to look at data trends.
     
  12. Amanda P

    Amanda P The CycleChat user formerly known as Uncle Phil

    I always suspect the forecaster's confidence in his or her own forecast when he spends the first half of the time allotted talking about what the weather has been doing. We know what it's been doing - we were there!

    They only do it so they don't have to spend so much time trying to convince us they have any idea what it might do next.

    One or two of the BBC's radio forecasters are particularly guilty of this trick.
     
  13. Maz

    Maz Guru

    Uncle Phil, your beard looks like shaving foam.
     
  14. Amanda P

    Amanda P The CycleChat user formerly known as Uncle Phil

    What beard? That is shaving foam.
     
  15. Road Fiddler

    Road Fiddler New Member

    Your right in some respects.

    A lot of TV and radio forecasters are not actually forecasters but presenters and it is normal for a forecaster to only give around 70 or 80% accuracy as they are forecasting for a large are for many people.