It would be great if he could get a podium place, but not sure - top 5 maybe, top 10 pretty certainly I think.
The first two weeks have been fairly easy, nobody's been attacking all that hard because it would have been too difficult to actually gain any real time - largely flat stages for the sprinters or breakaways.
The only time gains were in the prologue, that split on stage 3, Arcalis and yesterday to Verbiers - and neither of those two summit finishes was exactly a major climb, both pretty short, no major time gains by anyone.
We'll have to see what Wiggins can do given some proper mountains.
But then again both the next two days, whilst they do have proper mountains, don't have summit finishes and there's a long downhill for anyone dropped on the climbs to catch back on, so again they have potential to be bunch snoozefests where no-one wants to make a move.
Same with stage 19, so basically I think it all hinges, like lots of people said when the route originally came out, on the Annecy ITT and Ventoux
- have to see what Wiggins can do on both of these, with 3 weeks of mileage in his legs
I guess the worry is if Astana plus Saxo decide to work him over for Armstrong and Andy Schleck.
I don't think Kloden will mess-up - I think he'll be messed-up by being forced to work for Lance...