I reckon only the Astra driver has made a clearly illegal manoeuvre and also the grey-green car (though there is an unlikely but possible cause for appeal. Were I driving the black Honda I'd probably advance a little more because that's the only way I would be able to avoid blocking all the traffic behind me. Not that it would do much good; only the Transit would get past and the car behind, which is indicating right, would block the lane all over again.
This really illustrates the problem with having a system that automatically spits out a fine.
Astra - we all see his is in the wrong. Piggy behaviour. But - what if the lane he wants has been backed up to the box junction for 10 minutes?
Grey-Green car - may be at fault if the Astra was there when he entered the box but what if it was clear and the Astra cut out right in front of him.
Black Honda - You are wrong. He is supposed to wait in his land blocking all behind him until he can cross right over the box. Not pull out of his lane and wait in the box blocking oncoming traffic.
Renault- You have not even mentioned! He also gets a £130 fine as he did not clear the box fully.
Now if the Transit was an ambulance what would you do if you were driving the black Honda?
Although it is odd to say, we all break rules when we need to and sometimes the situation requires it. We cannot drive like machines so to impose a fine system in a mechanical way is very unjust.