FNRttC Friday Night Ride to the Coast Emsworth 20th April

[srw]

Yup. For the last two or three days, the Met Office has been predicting a dry night. It will, miraculously, stop raining at about 10pm, and start again at about 7:30am.

 

[martint235]

Are you sure you're looking at the correct day's forecast ?

Hey I've commuted every day except Monday this week, Friday night is looking like a drought in comparison!

 

[rb58]

Yup. For the last two or three days, the Met Office has been predicting a dry night. It will, miraculously, stop raining at about 10pm, and start again at about 7:30am.

Just in time for the start of the SMRbtH then......

 

[martint235]

Just in time for the start of the SMRbtH then......

I won't care by then. Flat out ride for home if it's raining (on a train!!)

 

[User482]

Yup. For the last two or three days, the Met Office has been predicting a dry night. It will, miraculously, stop raining at about 10pm, and start again at about 7:30am.

The Met Office also say it's raining in Bristol right now...

 

[Tim Hall]

Is it are not raining in Tokyo?

 

[Aperitif]

Is it are not raining in Tokyo?

Been tipping it down in Spain - all plain sailing by Friday...Have fun

 

[srw]

The Met Office also say it's raining in Bristol right now...

And who are you to gainsay the might minds of the Met Office?

 

[User482]

And who are you to gainsay the might minds of the Met Office?

They don't seem to have worked out the difference between precision and accuracy...

 

[thom]

They don't seem to have worked out the difference between precision and accuracy...

Go on then, what's the difference ?

 

[srw]

Precision is the art of refining definitions further and further. Accuracy is what you get before a vicarage.


Or, to be less flippant, User482 was being deliberately pedantic and interpreting an accurate weather report as a precise one.

 

[dellzeqq]

Met Office says dry night.

 

[thom]

Precision is the art of refining definitions further and further. Accuracy is what you get before a vicarage.


Or, to be less flippant, User482 was being deliberately pedantic and interpreting an accurate weather report as a precise one.

Context is everything.

 

[Tim Hall]

Some/lots of trains into Victoria are up the Swanee tonight, following a lightning strike on a substation which has banjaxed the signalling. Hopefully it'll be sorted by tomorrow in time for me to get my pasty.

 

[User482]

Precision is the art of refining definitions further and further. Accuracy is what you get before a vicarage.


Or, to be less flippant, User482 was being deliberately pedantic and interpreting an accurate weather report as a precise one.

Other way round.

Go on then, what's the difference ?

Think of a dartboard. If you hit 3 treble fives you are precise, but inaccurate because you were trying to hit treble twenty.
The met office should give up very precise weather predictions because forecasts do not have the requisite level of accuracy.