I don't like it either. I use the Metoffice app on my phone now
I don't understand...
- Thread starter annedonnelly
- Start date
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Tin Pot
Guru
What is an 8% risk of rain anyway?
How much rain is rather important.
Risk has two components, probability and impact.
Knowing one without the other is worthless.
mustang1
Legendary Member
- Location
- London, UK
This is how I roll:
If the forecast is bad, it could be good or bad .
If the forecast is good, it could be bad or good.
I can't ever book holidays based on how the forecast is.
If the forecast is bad, it could be good or bad .
If the forecast is good, it could be bad or good.
I can't ever book holidays based on how the forecast is.
Drago
Legendary Member
- Location
- Suburban Poshshire
Allow me to translate.
It will be simultaneously sunny, cloudy, and light rainy. There's a 3% chance it will be 18°C, and 3 big wet bits will spurt from the North West. I always pay close attention to what that Betty Mountain says.
MontyVeda
a short-tempered ill-controlled small-minded troll
- Location
- Lancaster... the little city.
I tend to use the forecast for temperatures mostly... i like to know if I'm likely to come across ice on tomorrow morning's commute.
regarding rain... if it says it will rain, it usually does. If it 'might' rain, it tends to drop on the hills a few miles east rather than here.
Wind dictates which direction I'll ride. I only head up the Lune valley if the prevailing wind is very light, or if the wind's coming from the east. If it's windy, I like to have it on my back on the last half of a ride.
regarding rain... if it says it will rain, it usually does. If it 'might' rain, it tends to drop on the hills a few miles east rather than here.
Wind dictates which direction I'll ride. I only head up the Lune valley if the prevailing wind is very light, or if the wind's coming from the east. If it's windy, I like to have it on my back on the last half of a ride.
PapaZita
Guru
- Location
- St. Albans
I don't know if all the probabilities of it raining in any given hour are independent. An 8% chance of rain is a 92% chance that it'll stay dry. Multiply all those percentages up for the whole day, and I make it something like a 40% chance of staying dry all day. So more likely than not it'll rain, at some point. I think the rain symbol is justified.
youngoldbloke
The older I get, the faster I used to be ...
I don't like or trust it either. Its been (and still is) telling me that every day is 'and breezy', when it certainly hasn't been, until today.
MossCommuter
Guru
- Location
- Salford
I live near Manchester; if I can't see Rivington Pike it's raining. If I can see Rivington Pike, it's about to rain.
mjr
Comfy armchair to one person & a plank to the next
- Location
- mostly Norfolk, sometimes Somerset
I've heard similar said about Crook Peak for much of North Somerset.
Strangely, I've heard no similar rule in the fens...
mjr
Comfy armchair to one person & a plank to the next
- Location
- mostly Norfolk, sometimes Somerset
Even simpler, http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weat...0<YP=&CITY=&SLP=0&W=0&L=0&ROAD=0&LF=1&SUM=0 and similar regional zooms are strangely free (much of the good stuff on there wants payment) and the front page has a dinky radar animation.
Fab Foodie
hanging-on in quiet desperation ...
- Location
- Kirton, Devon.
Yr.no
mjr
Comfy armchair to one person & a plank to the next
- Location
- mostly Norfolk, sometimes Somerset
Got surveyed about the BBC Weather changes today 
