I wouldn't say it was over till after Wednesday at the earliest. As we've seen with Vino, one bad day in the mountains and you can be out of it completely. It is not out of the question that Contador could erase the present gap in the final TT, it is very flat any headwind would really hurt an ultra-lightweight like Rasmussen.
Although it looks good for Rasmussen at the moment there is still some cycling to do before Paris, although it looks as if the only one that can really challenge him is Contador. However for that to happen Rasmussen will have to have a 'bad day' which doesn't look apparent on hiw showing up to now!!!!!!!!!!!!
Contador always looks as if he's finding it harder than Razza though, who appears calm and collected at all times - could all be bluff of course. I think that as things stand, unless Cadel Evans does a spectacular TT at the end and Rasmussen gets a mechanical or crashes in the final TT, Razza willl stay in yellow. That's not taking into account any extra time gained over Evans in the next few mountains either. If Rasmussen can get away from Contador just a few seconds on each climb, that'll definitely lead to him finishing in yellow.
Disco very nearly managed something yesterday. If Contador had managed to get any gap at the top of the Peyresourde (and he nearly did), then Hincapie was waiting to pace him to the finish, and could well have put 30sec into Rasmussen.
1 DAN M.RASMUSSEN (RAB) 69h52'14''
2 ESP A.CONTADOR (DSC) à 02'23''
3 AUS C.EVANS (PRL) à 04'00''
4 USA L.LEIPHEIMER (DSC) à 05'25''
5 ALL A.KLODEN (AST) à 05'34''
6 ESP C.SASTRE (CSC) à 06'46''
7 ESP H.ZUBELDIA (EUS) à 07'27''
8 KAZ A.KASHECHKIN (AST) à 07'54''
9 LUX K.KIRCHEN (TMO) à 08'24''
10 ESP M.ASTARLOZA (EUS) à 09'21''
Evans, Leipheimer, Kloden and Sastre are all serious contenders and it would only take one bad day + a time trial to close that gap.
Contador isn't so great at time trials and can't dent Rasmussen as a climber. But he is closer than the others at the moment.
True, but had that been Armstrong for example, we'd surely have seen Hincapie pacing him UP the hill, not waiting for him at the top? Instead we saw Boogerd do a job for Rasmussen. Also, Leipheimer was there too, he should have been sacrificed to help out. Popovich was the only one who provided support. That team have the legs but I don't think they pulled together as well as they could have to put Rasmussen in trouble.