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classic33

Leg End Member
Daffy Yellow Card.jpg

Mr Classic the reliable weatherman :crazy::rofl::rofl:
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172traindriver

172traindriver

Legendary Member

Hey Mr Classic
Are we going to have a scorcher for 2018??? :sun::sun:
 

Blue

Squire
Hi @Blue :hello:
Obviously very jealous, even though its lovely and sunny the water in the shade is still frozen and parts out of the sun are still frosty. Not going out on the bike yet, if at all until the ice melts.
You deserve the nice warm weather though after everything, so enjoy it :okay:
Thanks for that.:okay:
Our son and his partner have taken Mrs B out for the day to give me a break. I went to the local shop just now and am soaked in sweat a I type - high 20's today. I think I'll leave my daily hike for an hour or two to let it cool.
Mrs B has been pretty good except for a wee episode the other night when something I wasn't expecting until late stage happened. It was a bit of a shock and a bit scary, as well as upsetting, but I got it sorted and she forgot what happened pretty quickly. It was lucky we had family here as they were able to talk to her while I got things sorted. She's back to her normal now. Other than that we are having a fantastic time and I am able to cope better because I'm more relaxed here.
 
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172traindriver

172traindriver

Legendary Member
Not Happy Valley.

You have different weather anyway.
I think we should call it weird valley. It would go down well with locals also :laugh:
 

classic33

Leg End Member
Next month, at a guess

The strength of the Circumpolar Vortex, the currently above normal sea-surface temperatures over mid-latitude Oceans and just enough Arctic sea-ice extent to ensure Arctic interior will be very cold by then (but with the sea-ice margin north of the usual position) will be defining influences on the month’s weather. The impact of the developing easterly QBO in the Equatorial Stratosphere will not have affected our weather: It’s certain that the subtropical high-pressure belt will be centred 35 to 40˚N across the North Atlantic into the Mediterranean, as the north-east Trade Winds weaken in response to the weakening Intertropical Convergence Zone (the ITCZ) moving south over cooler-than-usual Equatorial waters; the current set-up of sea-surface temperatures and sea-ice margins in higher latitudes will still be there and this will give scope for the subtropical high and the north-east Trade Winds to extend further north than usual for December. Unusually warm waters off the US East Coast will persist to give scope for intense cyclogenisis due to the temperature gradient between these waters and what will then be a very cold north-east Canada.

These factors together limit the scope for high-latitude blocking during December. The month will be dominated by deep depressions racing east-north-east from Newfoundland towards Iceland. These strong westerlies will bring rain, gales and relatively mild temperatures across the UK with regularity and daytime temperatures of 10˚C or even higher will be common across the English and Welsh lowlands during the month: However winds will be westerly rather than south-westerly and colder air will affect Scotland and Northern England at times, these will bring snowfalls to the hills with snow lying above 300 metres’ elevation. There will be a couple of occasions during December when a deep depression moves towards Norway and winds veer to be north-westerly to bring cold weather across the whole country; snow showers will affect low ground across Scotland and the North (with daytime temperatures around 3˚C) but with brighter conditions and maxima around 6˚C to southern England and air-frost will be widespread across the country at night.

Early in December, high-pressure is likely to make its presence felt for a few days, at least for England and Wales: Weak wintry sunshine will dominate chilly days with maxima close to 6˚C across the lowlands whilst frost and fog (freezing in places) will be widespread at night. Scotland is likely to miss out on this dry spell with strong westerly winds bringing chilly rain at times to the lowlands but periodic blizzards to the mountains.

The Christmas period is likely to be particularly stormy, arising from a Stratospheric Vortex reaching maximum intensity in December. Gales and heavy rain will sweep the country at times (severe gales will affect western Scotland), but it will be cold in Scotland as sub-Arctic air gets into the mix. Heavy snow will affect the Scottish mountains and snowfalls will also occur on the hills of the Lake District and the Pennines at times.(Happy Valley excepted)

For December as a whole, average monthly temperatures will range from near 6.5˚C on the South Coast of England and in South Wales to around 5˚C across the Midlands and Lancashire and just 4˚C in northern Scotland. The Scottish mountains, anywhere above about 600 metres will have a mean temperature below freezing point and snow-cover- established in late November is liable to persist (and accumulate) during December. Rainfall during December will be near average over the Midlands, South-East England, the North-East and Yorkshire but well-above average over North and West Scotland, North West England, Northern Ireland, North and West Wales and South West England.

And to start the New Year
In the coldest upland areas of Scotland, North East England and Yorkshire (where snowcover is likely) daytime maxima may not exceed -5˚C on the coldest days, whilst nights will be extremely cold (locally as low as -15˚C).
 
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172traindriver

172traindriver

Legendary Member
Next month, at a guess

The strength of the Circumpolar Vortex, the currently above normal sea-surface temperatures over mid-latitude Oceans and just enough Arctic sea-ice extent to ensure Arctic interior will be very cold by then (but with the sea-ice margin north of the usual position) will be defining influences on the month’s weather. The impact of the developing easterly QBO in the Equatorial Stratosphere will not have affected our weather: It’s certain that the subtropical high-pressure belt will be centred 35 to 40˚N across the North Atlantic into the Mediterranean, as the north-east Trade Winds weaken in response to the weakening Intertropical Convergence Zone (the ITCZ) moving south over cooler-than-usual Equatorial waters; the current set-up of sea-surface temperatures and sea-ice margins in higher latitudes will still be there and this will give scope for the subtropical high and the north-east Trade Winds to extend further north than usual for December. Unusually warm waters off the US East Coast will persist to give scope for intense cyclogenisis due to the temperature gradient between these waters and what will then be a very cold north-east Canada.

These factors together limit the scope for high-latitude blocking during December. The month will be dominated by deep depressions racing east-north-east from Newfoundland towards Iceland. These strong westerlies will bring rain, gales and relatively mild temperatures across the UK with regularity and daytime temperatures of 10˚C or even higher will be common across the English and Welsh lowlands during the month: However winds will be westerly rather than south-westerly and colder air will affect Scotland and Northern England at times, these will bring snowfalls to the hills with snow lying above 300 metres’ elevation. There will be a couple of occasions during December when a deep depression moves towards Norway and winds veer to be north-westerly to bring cold weather across the whole country; snow showers will affect low ground across Scotland and the North (with daytime temperatures around 3˚C) but with brighter conditions and maxima around 6˚C to southern England and air-frost will be widespread across the country at night.

Early in December, high-pressure is likely to make its presence felt for a few days, at least for England and Wales: Weak wintry sunshine will dominate chilly days with maxima close to 6˚C across the lowlands whilst frost and fog (freezing in places) will be widespread at night. Scotland is likely to miss out on this dry spell with strong westerly winds bringing chilly rain at times to the lowlands but periodic blizzards to the mountains.

The Christmas period is likely to be particularly stormy, arising from a Stratospheric Vortex reaching maximum intensity in December. Gales and heavy rain will sweep the country at times (severe gales will affect western Scotland), but it will be cold in Scotland as sub-Arctic air gets into the mix. Heavy snow will affect the Scottish mountains and snowfalls will also occur on the hills of the Lake District and the Pennines at times.(Happy Valley excepted)

For December as a whole, average monthly temperatures will range from near 6.5˚C on the South Coast of England and in South Wales to around 5˚C across the Midlands and Lancashire and just 4˚C in northern Scotland. The Scottish mountains, anywhere above about 600 metres will have a mean temperature below freezing point and snow-cover- established in late November is liable to persist (and accumulate) during December. Rainfall during December will be near average over the Midlands, South-East England, the North-East and Yorkshire but well-above average over North and West Scotland, North West England, Northern Ireland, North and West Wales and South West England.

And to start the New Year
In the coldest upland areas of Scotland, North East England and Yorkshire (where snowcover is likely) daytime maxima may not exceed -5˚C on the coldest days, whilst nights will be extremely cold (locally as low as -15˚C).

Ok Classic, I will make sure I have the shovel ready, and will stock up on tinned food :cold::hungry::cuppa:
 
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