@Pale Rider Lots of rumours including Dyson that are saying batteries which will produce 60% more power same weight and volume as present batteries. So lighter weight or greater range. Motors need to be made more reliable some have been absolutely dire according to
https://www.pedelecs.co.uk/
In particular the Kalkhof Impulse motor. Although your Bosch is highly rated as that correct?
I can't see why the electric motors on a electric bikes shouldn't last as long as in electric car. Have I missed something there.
@Cycleops doubt this will happen within a year or so. I expect any one wanting/needing will get one now. Therefore it will be people encouraged to buy one in the future. No doubt a lot will give up on them the first time they are caught in the rain! So leaving it another year you will get them even cheaper. Furthermore it will reduce the price of any sold secondhand bought prior to the introduction. There will also be a big increase in the secondhand market as people upgrade reducing the price further. As an aside the price will go up negating to a degree the benefits of the subsidised.
Personally I am not sure which way I will go,
upgrade
New one just because it's new.
Both will result in me selling the present one which is working fine and has a nearly new battery.
OR buying the new and flogging it for profit.
I really see no need for two.
@Pale Rider and anyone else knowledgeable I will be looking for a work horse one entirely for pulling trailers. Trailer will always be attached to seat post.