Thought I'd resurrect this thread off the back of
@Cycleops'
Giant thread, since that's caused me to take a look at what's about on the used market - quite the eye-opener!
I recall looking at Giant's entry-level Contend model in 2018 (after which I eventually went with a used Boardman). Back then I think the least expensive (the Contend 2) was about £600 RRP, now it's about £750. I imagine you could knock 20% off either of those figures for end-of-season-clearances so £480 and £600 respectively. While granted there are a few going for more, I'm seeing some on
ebay for as little as £150ish - including one of the same vintage as I was originally considering... so ostensibly it's lost around 75% of its value in four years.
Not that I'm a huge fan of Giant (nothing wrong with them per-se, they just don't make anything that interests me - i.e. steel) that's a hell of a lot of bike for someone just starting out, and a stark contrast when compared to new prices. £150-200 for a four year old versus four-five times that for a new one has to be a pretty strong incentive for those on a budget.
Similarly there are 4-5yr old Contend SLs on ebay for similar money (typically £150-300 maybe); earlier variants of what's now around £1250-1300 RRP.
Residuals of the Contend "AR" ("All Road") are better; presumably because gravel's more trendy / has more marketing focus and is relatively young, so there's probably less choice. AR3s appear to be going for maybe £450-550 for 2020 models, when the current RRP is £1200 - so that's around 50-60% lost value over a couple of years.
This illustrates nicely that the Covid froth at this end of the market is gone and we've maybe pushed a bit below pre-Covid prices.
Moving onto more interesting metal, Dawes Galaxies seem to be coming down a bit, while the price of Genesis Croix De Fers appears to have maybe drifted a bit lower, with older, middling examples at typically around £350-450, the odd outlier below this (cheapest full bike recently sold on ebay was £270!). More recent CdF 20 models are maybe £550-750 without a huge correlation to age and placing them at significantly less than half their current RRP of £1700 - somewhat eye-watering in itself as this was £1350 when I was looking in 2020... although granted the latest ones are a
slightly nicer spec.
So, unsurprisingly seems increasingly to be a buyer's market, although moreso for the more mainstream and entry-level road stuff than more niche offerings..