BM, your original post:-
I think it was John Forrester who estimated it'll take 500 miles to gain vehicular cycling confidence with lessons, 5,000 miles from a book, and 50,000 miles riding on your own.
My original response:-
Would this person have a vested interest in cycle training? IMHO 50K is just a gross exagerration.
Your first defence, ignoring the 'roll eyes' effort:-
Regardless of what you think of JF, it's probably not ridiculously far wrong.
The thread then degenerates as, despite being asked to backup your stats, you choose to attribute more and more fanciful meanings to what I've posted. A real classic is:-
So you're saying your opinion is more valid and more likely to be true than an acknowledged expert? LOLOL!
I was questioning the validity of quoted stats, nothing more and nothing less. When you say acknowledged expert I take it you mean in cycling not in crunching stats? On the evidence provided so far I'd rate him as amateurish, at best, in the world of stats. The 10-20 year/50k line is more akin to something employed by a desperate sales person than anything else.
You then post up:-
Exactly. What's important to me is the overall point that learning on your own takes much longer than learning with other cyclists which takes longer than learning in formal lessons.
MacB, why don't you make your own guess as to the ratios between the categories given in Origamist's post and post them here?
I agree with your first point here and if you'd posted that in the first place there would have been no argument. Your second point is asking me to do your legwork, you want the stats get them yourself.
The next effort is to try and twist around the pattern of the debate:-
That implies you do agree with the general principle that formal lessons will give you more knowledge much more quickly, and that you'll take longest learning traffic skills on your own. Which was my point in the post I made.
The rest of it just seems to be you being argumentative, and unwilling to accept that you have anything new to learn in traffic skills.
This is you trying to say that what you meant was X and I shouldn't have taken your literally at value Y. Then you sneak in a little blame attack and accuse me of being unwilling to learn.........based on what exactly???
Now stop with the injured party routine, you post unsupported stats they'll be attacked, this has NOTHING to do with cycling.