Hard to say if Visma played it right the first week....did they overcook themselves ? I'm not sure I probably think they did the right thing giving a go.To be honest I dont think it would of been a whole lot different as UAE/Pog as a team are in stellar form !
I think there's a difference between having a crap tactic and having a tactic that just didn't work out. There were risks involved and a couple of them went the wrong way in the end. Van Aert being out of form was a massive blow - he would have been expected to be pivotal in the first ten days. Where they made a genuine tactical mistake was Hautacam, where they were probably lured into the big attack by Pog's crash/Almeida out/Sivakov peaky - this might be a day where he can't answer so easily and you don't get many of them. But it was too early in the race and they blew up their own team, leaving Jonas unprotected at the end. Jorgenson melting was a huge loss, that was their GCish card gone. It should have been a day for attrition, ride hard but not all in, keep the pressure up, see if there's a chance near the end. The only rider on the Visma team that's been stellar is Campenaerts (Affini also pretty good earlier on in stages), everyone else has been on a scale from decent to poor.
UAE have played it pretty well, they've curtailed the most aggressive of Pog's attacking tendencies (I think he could have had 6 or 7 stages by now, and last year probably would have) to keep him fresh, and he definitely rides more maturely now (yesterday a prime example). Visma were probably hoping he was fixated on chasing Cav's record. I think Pog has been genuinely annoyed that he's had to give up stages to what he sees as Visma silly-buggers.