Good morning,
It's going to be hard to avoid NACA territory, but President Trump has made Europe think about it's defence capabilities and requirements in a way that opens up a lot of possibilities that were unlikley a year ago.
Russia/Ukraine and P. Trump have shown that the belief that
war in Europe could never happen again so defence spending and defence industries didn't really matter. is a wrong.
However UK businesses and employees are already massively overtaxed so defence spending will probably have to come at the cost of other government spending, so there will be a need to blame somebody for it.
Being someone liked/hated P. Trump can and already is being used by European policitians to promote massive increases in public expenditure on defence, we must do this because;
- Trump is evil and has no interest in Europe
- Trump is right, the defence of Europe is not the US's problem.
- Both
Sadly at the moment this planned expenditure seems to be simply buy US systems rather than commit to a local (the whole of Western Europe) development program.
But this defence commitment could come with a new attitude; such as
Fred Aviation can compete, then replacing the Hawk could be easy. After all the Spitfire was a modified race plane from a company with no military supply experience.
This is where it gets hard, we need companies that can afford the development costs but are not so big that they waste vast sums of money on just operating. Boeing built the Staturn V first stage but seems to be struggling with their Starliner.
My understanding is that the Hawk is primarily a trainer with some ground attack capabilities added afterwards to make it sellable, conceptually it is slow (just sub Mach 1), slightly unstable so it feels like a real fighter, but cheap to run with a long life. These abilities are just as valid now as when it was first designed and as it can never out perform a pure air superiority/ground attack aircraft why waste the effort trying to be a bit faster or carry a slightly heavier payload?
In other words a smaller company could do what Musk did with Space X, (keep selling old NASA technology under a new name with a few tweaks). The Hawk would no longer a BAE product but the
Tawny Owl, a new concept from
Worcester Advanced Aerospace a company formed from F1 expertise and the Radar and electronics expertise from cold war establisment from Malvern and perhaps Aldermaston (AWRE).
In other words replacing the Hawk is not fundamentally a technical one but a presentation one, the replacement aircraft must by definition of its role be pretty much the same as old Hawk, There simply hasn't been the deevlopment in materials or electronics to make a radically new design required.
Bye
Ian