Cycling News has a piece on the top 5 green jersey contenders....
http://www.cyclingnews.com/features/2012-tour-de-france-top-five-points-classification-contenders
Cavendish, Goss, Rojas, Greipel, Sagan
It notes that Boonen and Hushvold will not be riding this tour... and I didn't know that! Shows you how much attention I pay! Now, having admitted that I know nothing, I have to say that I feel the winner could easily come from outside those 5 names.
Cavendish - sure, would never bet against him
Sagan - on current form, unquestionably
Rojas - yes, I would agree, if he stays focused
Goss - maybe, I'm sure he wants it and has a point to prove
Greipel - in the mix for a couple of sprint wins definitely, but green?
I reckon there's a case to be made for others - time for me to look at the team sheets and educate myself.