Did someone mention Wittgenstein? It's not a circuit for him methinks. And since that bust up with Popper (I reckon it was a chain whip btw and not a poker) he's just not been a team player. So he'd get little or no support from either Popper or Russell. No, these are not philosophical problems we have here but merely ones of tactics.
Cavendish is in with a shout I reckon. I'm sure I recall reading recently that he described the circuit as '
not that hard'. Clearly, one has to take into account that Cavendish is a bit of a lippy sod but I'm sure he's also adept at playing the head games too; for both himself and to try and physce out others. What I'm saying is, I reckon he fancies his chances...
Interesting quotes from the above article...
"It's not really an uphill finish, it is a flat finish in terms of professional cycling," he said.
"That's going to make the race, I think that bridge."
"We will just do our best, I've got two really strong guys with me and you know we will hopefully bank on the other teams wanting to do the same as we want to do," Cavendish said. "We will have to ride off the back of that. I think a lot of the other smaller teams want the same situation as we do so maybe it will work out like that."
A much more measured interview
here
The Isle Of Man sprinter says he can figure in world title medal calculations only if there is a reasonably big group together at the end of the 262.7km. "It's a tough circuit, a hard circuit", he said. "But there's enough recovery not to be on your knees. I don't regard myself as one of the main contenders unless there's the possibility of a bunch sprint.
Bigger teams can control the pace/peleton but they can't control (as easily) who takes benefit. If Hunt and Millar can keep Cavendish in the frame (with our without the assistance of smaller teams) then I reckon Cavendish is right to think about his chances.
I guess we're just going to see how it pans out, just play the conjecture game until then.