At what capital cost though?
My present vehicle has a range of over 600 miles. When do you reckon I'll be able to buy an electric car with a similar range, capable of towing a caravan, at a comparable purchase price, with a comparable ease of refuelling?
What do you mean by capital cost? Your cost or the cost of new factories?
I have no idea regarding the other questions. I'm not defending electric and I am still thinking through many of the issues. I just see an event unfolding that I'll be very happy to see unfold completely in my lifetime. It will be the biggest disruption since the horse and it is great watching all the pieces fall into place.
But now thinking a bit about your requirement for range (lets leave your caravan at home for now) it may pan out like this: Since the autonomous car not owned by the individual is a likely scenario, we'll all be relying on pool cars. Forget about the ownership of the pool for now. That means you will be able to hop from pool car to pool car and have an unlimited range. Your long trip will just become a relay, says my crystal ball.
I have been fortunate to witness two giant technological disruptions in my life. I worked for a newspaper when DTP was invented and put hundreds of people in our paper out of work. I also witnessed the demise of the AT&T type telecomms company through cellular and Internet. However, I think both these will prove to be minor compared to what will happen within 15 years.
I think within 5 years the issue of inner city pollution will be no more threatening than the issue of inner city horse poo in 1904. There was a stage when it was predicted that the streets will become mountains of horse dung. Then Henry Ford came onto the scene and swept it all away. There are photos of New York where it is difficult to spot a car in the traffic, and three years later it was difficult to spot a lone horse in the same scene.