Coronavirus outbreak

[DCLane]

Does 'act like you've got it' mean we should all self-isolate... since that's what I'd be doing if i had it?

Given I've been working from home since March it'd not make much of a difference.

 

[Flick of the Elbow]

Does 'act like you've got it' mean we should all self-isolate... since that's what I'd be doing if i had it?

Since March my behaviour has been driven by the firm conviction that everyone else has got it.

 

[tom73]

I'm probably going to go and get myself tested before long... now that those of us with no symptoms can. I work in a supermarket and could be one of the supposed one-in-three asymptomatic carriers... but is that one-in-three claim correct?

Don’t take the result of a rapid flow test as much comfort. They have a crap false negative rate miss over 40% of positive cases. Inc a high number of the mostly infectious cases and unless a positive result is followed up by PCR test. The system can’t pass results onto T&T.

 

[DaveReading]

I'm probably going to go and get myself tested before long... now that those of us with no symptoms can. I work in a supermarket and could be one of the supposed one-in-three asymptomatic carriers... but is that one-in-three claim correct?

The 1 in 3 ratio (the proportion of Covid-infected people who don't display any symptoms) shouldn't be influenced by where you work, although the odds of you being infected in the first place (around 1 in 50 of the population) might.

All things being equal, the probability of someone picked at random from the population being both (a) infected and (b) symptomless will be the product of those probabilities, i.e. around 1 in 150.

 

[Ajax Bay]

the probability of someone picked at random from the population being both (a) infected and (b) symptomless will be the product of those probabilities, i.e. around 1 in 150

Dave that's well spotted (am annoyed with myself for not making that 'More or Less' step). Even at 1 in 3, and 2M (infected (cfm by test) at any one time - gross overestimate) in 60M (population) that's 1 in 90.

 

[MontyVeda]

Don’t take the result of a rapid flow test as much comfort. They have a crap false negative rate miss over 40% of positive cases. Inc a high number of the mostly infectious cases and unless a positive result is followed up by PCR test. The system can’t pass results onto T&T.

source?

 

[Rocky]

source?

https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4941

 

[classic33]

source?

Those actually running the test station.

Another test today, quicker results, negative again(Luck or doing things right?).

One hesitation on this latest test, it's only 50% as accurate (At best) as the previous ones, which are 90% accurate.
Are they rushing tests through?

 

[midlife]

Like most patient facing staff I lateral flow test twice a week. Its mainly to pick up asymptomatic carriers. If we have symptoms then we phone occupational health for a PCR not use the lateral flow.

We know it has high false negative but better than nothing.

 

[tom73]

DOHS own official report into the Liverpool pilot which only last week Hancock shot down as wrong.
Even the MHRA won’t approve them for most thing the government want to use them as due error being too high. The plan for schools is no go only last week the MHRA formal told them they are not licensed for weekly testing. Plenty of experts on testing don‘t like them either.

 

[tom73]

Like most patient facing staff I lateral flow test twice a week. Its mainly to pick up asymptomatic carriers. If we have symptoms then we phone occupational health for a PCR not use the lateral flow.

We know it has high false negative but better than nothing.

That’s one thing problem is they are sold as a “you don’t have COVID so off you” like what happen with students. Not as a small part of test options.

 

[mjr]

Variant B117 closes a care home near Ypres and 2 schools near Antwerp, with 5000 people Quarantined. https://www.brusselstimes.com/belgi...two-schools-as-virus-sweeps-through-flanders/

Here we (they) go

 

[SpokeyDokey]

Bookings up at Easyjet - the month of May looking popular for holidays in 2021:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55709110

Even optimistically I think expecting to get away in May is a bit premature.

 

[Oldhippy]

I saw the easy jet thing. Just plain stupid. No pun intended.

 

[deptfordmarmoset]

Bookings up at Easyjet - the month of May looking popular for holidays in 2021:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55709110

Even optimistically I think expecting to get away in May is a bit premature.

A case of desire trumping reason, I suspect. And Booking. com still send me emails hoping to boost that desire. Straight into the bin for mine.